Conviction Market Infrastructure

Predictions are convictions,
not trades.

White-label prediction market infrastructure for sportsbooks, casinos, and entertainment platforms.

Infrastructure built around how prediction markets should actually work — capturing what crowds genuinely believe.

Origin

Why This Exists

This infrastructure has been in development for over three years — before Kalshi launched, before most platforms in the space today existed. It wasn't built to chase a trend. It was built because the person behind it believes that making a public statement about the future and backing it with money is one of the most compelling experiences you can offer a user.

The design objective was never addiction. Not engagement farming. Not maximizing time-on-screen to sell more ads.

The objective was to make this genuinely fun.

There's a difference. Platforms that optimize for addiction engineer dark patterns — infinite scrolls, notification traps, algorithmic outrage. Platforms that optimize for fun engineer relevance. When every market in your user's feed means something to them personally — a team they follow, an event they care about, a question they have a real opinion on — engagement happens naturally.

Speed isn't a feature — it's a requirement. A recommendation that arrives in two seconds is a recommendation that arrives too late. A feed that loads slowly is a feed nobody scrolls. Edge infrastructure, intelligent recommendations, sub-500ms delivery — these exist because great UX demands them.

The intelligence layer doesn't try to hook your users. It tries to understand them — with a single anonymous identifier, no personal data — and surface the markets that genuinely matter to them.

We build in close partnership with our platform clients. Every integration sharpens the infrastructure, surfaces new edge cases, and strengthens the network. This is a product built with conviction — for platforms that want to offer the same to their users.

The Problem

Trading venues cosplaying as prediction markets.

The prediction market space has an identity problem. Platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi built trading venues and called them prediction markets. That model works for traders — but it misses the larger opportunity.

Trading Model

✗ Order books, exit buttons, speculative asset mechanics
✗ Candlestick charts and millisecond execution
✗ Exit liquidity turns conviction into speculation
✗ Crowd intelligence disappears with trading mechanics

Conviction Model

✓ Odds, conviction, and resolution — what users actually want
✓ Form an opinion, back it with money, wait for the outcome
✓ Market signal stays honest — people commit to outcomes
✓ Captures genuine crowd conviction at scale

Most traders are speculators — but not every speculator is a trader. The far bigger audience lives on sportsbooks, casino platforms, and entertainment apps.

Core Model

What AnyBid Is

A prediction is a publicly made statement with a binary outcome. You stake money on a side. You wait for resolution. You win or you lose.

How others frame it

"Will Bitcoin hit $150k?"

That's a poll. It's passive.

How AnyBid frames it

"Bitcoin will hit $150k by December."

That's a conviction. It demands you pick a side.

Fractionalized Matching Engine

You don't need one counterparty with $100. Ten people with $10 fills the market. Our on-chain matching engine fills positions fractionally — liquidity builds naturally as conviction grows on both sides.

Dampened Odds Movement

Odds shift gradually as conviction accumulates. The dampening mechanism prevents short-term manipulation and flash swings. Markets reach strong ratios through genuine conviction, not algorithmic exploitation.

One Market Per Prediction

Each unique prediction exists once across the entire network. No duplicates. No fragmented liquidity. When your platform creates a market, every partner platform can surface it. Liquidity compounds.

Resale — Not an Exit

Positions are commitments. There's no exit button. But life happens — so we built a resale mechanism. Think of it as selling a betting slip. The conviction model stays clean.

Content Layer

The Unified Feed

Your platform gets a single feed containing every market relevant to your users.

Native Conviction Markets

Built on AnyBid infrastructure, peer-to-peer, fully auditable. These are your primary revenue source. Your platform earns fees on every position taken.

Aggregated External Markets

Polymarket, Kalshi, and future platforms pulled into the same feed with odds recalculated into formats your users understand. Additional revenue on inventory you didn't create.

Smart Categorization

Every market is embedded, vectorized, and categorized into 30 content tags. Your platform selects which categories to display. A sportsbook picks Sports, Entertainment, Esports. A financial platform picks Finance, Tech, Crypto.

Blacklisting handles hard boundaries with semantic understanding. Our engine understands meaning, not just keywords — "NFL expansion to London" passes as sports, while "The next President will legalize sports betting" correctly identifies as political.

SportsEntertainmentFinanceCryptoTechEsportsPoliticsScienceCulture

Architecture

Three Services, One API

We treat your frontend as an empty shell. Everything is delivered via API. Your brand, your UX, your design — we power what's behind it.

<200ms

Recommendation Response

Market Intelligence

The recommendation engine your users never see but always feel. Surfaces the right markets to the right users at the right time.

✓ Single anonymous identifier — zero PII
✓ Vector embeddings for semantic understanding
✓ Collaborative filtering across the network
✓ Proprietary BatchFlow™ — 3x throughput per compute unit
✓ Deterministic and explainable — no LLMs

100ms

Cached Data Delivery

Market Metadata

Unified catalog across all market sources. Real-time odds aggregation, premium context, and global delivery.

✓ Real-time odds aggregation
✓ Premium context and reporting
✓ Media assets via CDN and IPFS
✓ Support for 20+ languages
✓ Sub-30ms cached data delivery

<5min

Average Settlement

Execution Layer

Account abstraction — every user ID maps to a unique wallet. Non-custodial by architecture. Defense-in-depth security.

✓ Fractionalized matching engine
✓ Automated multi-source oracle settlement
✓ Full on-chain audit trail
✓ Users never see wallets or gas fees
✓ Non-custodial by architecture

Integration

Two Ways to Integrate

Every platform is different. Some want full control. Others want to launch fast. We support both — same backend, same infrastructure, same security model.

Build It Yourself

Headless API

Your engineering team builds the frontend. AnyBid is pure infrastructure behind your API. Your design system, your user flow — we're invisible to your end users.

✓ Complete control over the experience
✓ Server-to-server integration
✓ Lightweight event tracking SDK
✓ Open-source Companion App included as reference implementation

2–6 weeks

Integration timeline

We Build It For You

Companion App

A standalone branded web application deployed and managed via our dashboard. predictions.yourbrand.com — your logo, your colors, your authentication system, our infrastructure.

✓ Deployed and configured via dashboard
✓ Uses your platform's auth system
✓ Production-ready — battle-tested and near-perfect
✓ Open-source codebase — inspect every line

6–8 weeks

Integration timeline

Start Fast, Go Deep

These aren't mutually exclusive. Start with the Companion App, learn what your users want, then migrate to a fully custom frontend when ready. The backend doesn't change. Only the frontend layer.

Revenue

Your platform sets the fees. Not us.

Every conviction market supports a configurable fee range. AnyBid takes a percentage of the fees your platform generates. We earn when you earn.

User takes a position

Your user backs a conviction with money on your platform.

Platform fee applied

You set the fee: 0–5% for native markets, 0–1.5% for aggregated. Per market if you want.

AnyBid takes a cut

A percentage of your fees. If your platform generates nothing, we earn nothing. Incentives fully aligned.

What's Included

✓ No per-request API charges
✓ No tiered feature gates
✓ No premium add-ons for intelligence
✓ One integration, all features included
✓ We don't penalize you for growing

On-chain verification

Every fee, every transaction, every settlement is verifiable on-chain. No reconciliation disputes. No quarterly true-ups. Trust the math, not the invoice.

Identity

How User Identity & Wallets Work

We never see your users. We don't want to. Your platform manages user identity — authentication, profiles, personal data, all of it stays on your side.

Partner sends anonymous ID

Your backend sends us a single anonymous identifier. No email, no name, no personal information crosses the boundary.

AnyBid creates wallet

That anonymous ID maps to a unique wallet in our system. One ID, one wallet. That's the entire user model.

Everything on-chain

Every action tied to that wallet is recorded on-chain. Your compliance team can verify any user's full transaction history independently.

Separation by Design

You

Your Platform Holds

Identity, authentication, profiles, PII

AnyBid Holds

Wallets, matching, intelligence, settlement, audit trail

Zero PII. No data processing agreements needed. No shared user databases.

Infrastructure

Edge-First. Speed Users Feel.

When we say fast, we mean the full experience: content, video, images, API responses, network hops — everything end-to-end in under 500 milliseconds.

<500ms

End-to-End

Edge Nodes / Client

Downtime Architecture

50ms

Local Latency

Primary Node

Deployed in the same region as your users. All read-heavy operations served locally: feeds, odds, outcomes, recommendations, semantic search, media content.

Hot Standby

Same data, same performance, instant failover. Zero-downtime architecture. Every edge node participates in the broader AnyBid network.

Separation of concerns: Edge handles content and intelligence. All financial operations run on separate, isolated infrastructure. Money never flows through the same systems that serve content.

Trust Layer

Why Blockchain — And Why Users Never See It

We use blockchain as a source of truth. Not because of ideology — because it gives your platform an immutable audit trail that no internal database can replicate.

Invisible to Users

Account abstraction means the entire blockchain layer is invisible. Users place predictions, check odds, collect payouts — all through your interface. They never see a wallet, sign a transaction, or encounter a gas fee.

Defense-in-Depth

Each user's wallet is an isolated security boundary. Compromise one account and the blast radius is limited to that account's balance. No central pool to drain, no single database to breach.

Independently Verifiable

Every transaction, resolution, settlement, and payout recorded on-chain. Your compliance and audit teams can verify independently — without us and without exposing user data.

Smart Energy Design

On-chain operations are batched and gas-optimized. Settlement is automated and efficient. Infrastructure scales horizontally without waste. We treat compute resources the same way we treat security — deliberately.

Network

The Network Effect

This is why the B2B model matters — and why early integration is strategically valuable.

Markets Compound

Every platform that joins adds markets, liquidity, and behavioral signal. A niche prediction created on your platform gets surfaced to users on partner platforms. Their participation adds liquidity to your market.

Community Compounds

Comments and discussion are shared across all platforms that surface a market. Users see perspectives from the entire network — the conversation is richer than any single platform could generate alone.

One market per prediction.

No duplicates across platforms. No fragmented liquidity. Liquidity flows to a single source of truth. The earlier your platform integrates, the more your markets benefit from every subsequent platform that joins.

The Experience

The feeling of making a call.

Putting money behind an opinion.

Watching the odds shift as the world reacts.

And finding out if you were right.

That's what prediction markets should be. Not a trading terminal. Not a financial instrument. A place where conviction meets outcome.

Proof

Production-Ready

This isn't a roadmap. Everything described here is live, tested, and operational.

10,000+

Markets Validated

100,000+

Transactions Settled

99.9%

Oracle Accuracy

<5 min